AMITIAE - Friday 18 May 2012
Cassandra: Friday Review - The Weekend Arrives |
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By Graham K. Rogers
Opening Gambit:A couple of Apple rumours. More on Mountain Lion development. Apple and book publishers; and the DoJ. Online ordering: a failure, a glitch and a success. A Raspberry for me; over another couple of hurdles. Samsung tops phone sales (Apple number 3). Has Apple dropped Samsung as supplier: Samsung's $10 billion share price drop says, Yes. Ask not what you can do with Facebook but what Facebook can do to you. Wonderful: to fix HP, Meg Whitman is expected to cut 25,000 jobs or more. If you ask for help, return the call. Fixing a wifi problem (and subsequent problem cascade) on the Mac.
Apple StuffThat rumour about the 4" screen for the next iPhone reappeared on several sites this week. AppleInsider, citing Wall Street Journal suggest that LG Display, Sharp, and a new company, Japan Display Inc are involved in making these. That last one may be connected to another rumour concerning the lack of orders for Samsung (see below). Sam Oliver on AppleInsider suggests that these will start being built around June which fits with a release to the latter part of the year.
Related to this, Jeff Gamet on the MacObserver reports that a judge has declined to dismiss a case in which Apple was being sued for the pricing structures, and this is going to trial. Read the comments with this too. Another look at this was put online by MacNN where there is some more useful information.
I thought it was a joke when I saw the idea earlier in the week, but apparently, AppleInsider reports, Steve Jobs really did want to build an iCar. With the rubbish that is out there it is not really a surprise. But that would have fundamentally changed Apple and perhaps not for the good.
Half and HalfFollowing a review of the Logitech Ultra-thin keyboard case for the iPad online on Wednesday I thought I would like to have one myself. Some you win, some you lose of course. I lost this one.The online ordering page only has the US States, so there appears to be no delivery outside of the US. I know that Value Systems have been an agent for Logitech products in the past, but I want this now, not in 6 months when some clerk thinks that as iPad sales have gone well, there may be a market for some accessories. I decided to try the Contact method. Logitech are large enough to think that customers need to register in order that they can be helped, which is sure to drive away 50%. I persevered to be faced with a form that required three sets of serial or part numbers, but as the device only has one, I went back to the ordering page (now showing I was ordering 2) and copied the number leaving two boxes blank. No, no. . . . Must have all the boxes filled, and the operating system. It is a cover. It does not have an operating system. I changed the button to iOS and then had a panel that was directing me to FAQs. I clicked Send. An automated reply arrived in minutes: OK, we do have a system; then a while later an email suggesting I contact the regional distributor in India. Line drawn. I do not need it that badly, so am not going to chase round the world with emails for a simple cover. I hadn't even thought about the keyboard. Maybe I will get the Apple one after all.
But Samsung was hurt badly this week after a rumour on Digitimes (see below) suggested that Apple was going to pull its orders -- significant of course -- and move to the Japanese chip maker Elpida which is in some financial trouble. Apple being some sort of white knight here: maybe a purchase is on the horizon. This decision may also be a way to reform the market and make sure no one gets a lead: that is Tim Cook thinking I bet. When the rumour appeared, Samsung shares dropped significantly (Reuters) and $10 billion was wiped off the value of the company. So cast your minds back to the Wednesday Cassandra and the comments of John Biggs on Tech Crunch, Harry McCracken on Technologizer and Phillip Elmer DeWitt on Fortune: all critical of the way that Digitimes rumours keep appearing and are sometimes found to be wrong. There has been no confirmation (nor denial) of the change in Apple ordering as yet. What if Digitimes was wrong?
Other MattersIn a slight contrast to the Logitech experience, on Thursday evening I had email from the ordering section of the Raspberry computer: time to place my order. It may be that several thousand were also trying to place their orders having had the same email, but it may have been a reluctant international link (ask locals about short URLs which do not always work) or my own location: this year the start of the rain saw me with slower connections. A check of the main RS Store pages was fine, suggesting a bad or overloaded link. After a while of trying -- even opening another browser which reported it could not find the server -- I sent email: I mean, maybe they didn't know.I had an email back within a couple of hours (some people are getting better at this) and RS told me that there were no problems their end, try again. Again, no connection but it looks as if the DNS servers here may be unable to identify the URL. As we write elsewhere, others have been experiencing similar problems this week as Thailand gets to grip with the unwelcome fact that it is connected to the world. I do notice that there is a serious latency problem: hit a URL and there is no instant reaction. Like count to 5. . . . and some. On Friday morning first thing, I tried the email and clicked the button one more time. Instant access. CAT must have thrown the right switch during the night. I placed the order and should have my Raspberry Pi despatched in about 3 weeks.
But they are not going to let him go: Politico reports that two senators are putting forward the Ex-patriot Act in a knee-jerk reaction to the renunciation last year and are going to propose taxing anyone (i.e. him) 30% for gains made after he has left. They also put forward the guff about the country that had protected him and nurtured, etc., etc.. Reading the report, the good Democratic senators have Eduardo in the cross-hairs and no one else. Another knee-jerk senator also wants Saverin banned from the US, Dan Froomkin writes on Huffington Post. Gee, these Americans don't like to feel left out, do they: top dog or nothing? The law has existed for years but has never been enforced, perhaps now it will. And if it is, this will demonstrate to many that the US can be a welcoming player, but a real bad loser. I am glad to see that Charles Cooper writing on this agrees with the general points I make here and sees this for what it is, making the point that there is no evidence to suggest in any way that Saverin has broken the law. Let me also remind you that he has been in Singapore for a long time and that the decision concerning US citizenship was made not last week, but September last year. Why didn't these senators, who are supposed to be part of the governing system, bring out these amendments and suggestions then? No publicity I guess: for them. We mentioned the way that Facebook revised the number of shares to be made available earlier in the week, but another report later from Ingrid Lunden on TechCrunch tells us that it was re-revised to 421,233,615 shares of Class A common stock, adding 83,818,263 shares. She also mentions the loss of GM as advertiser and this readjustment may be part of that. Taking up a point I made earlier in the week -- that is why I call the column, Cassandra -- Rip Empson on TechCrunch asks the question, "Facebook May Be Worth $100B, But What Are You Worth To Facebook?" Whatever happens after the IPO, the one thing that Facebook cannot do without is us: users. And we are a source of its income, whether by advertising or charging us for use of features. A third article on TechCrunch -- this must be telling us something -- by Josh Constine, looks at the problems Facebook could, umm, face: Big Brother (governments); the next M. Zuckerberg; Ad revenue problems with the mobile web; and "losing its cool" which has already happened for some. So when the IPO is released on Friday, will the price go up or down? With the excitement, probably up, at least for a while. And then? Reality may click in: one way or another.
As a note, HP has just declared a dividend of 13.2 cents per share. Don't these two items of news contain a contradiction?
Local ItemsDon't you just love it when someone asks for help and then never gets back to you. I had email from the south west this week asking me to give a phone number so that someone might be able to find help on a problem concerning mail on all Apple devices a friend had. The main clue was in the point that all devices were affected 9mac, iPad, iPhone), but other than that the details were sparse. I wrote back suggesting that the chances for getting help down there were slim, but asking for a few more details: router brand, ISP, is the email problem ingoing, outgoing, or both; what type of email account(s) is he using? I could have saved my time. I may sit here for ever waiting to be contacted again.
I shut down some applications, but several just sat there doing nothing. The link was wifi: Mail, Safari, Twitter and others were all thinking they had to make connections, when this was impossible. I resorted to Force Quit for the reluctant ones and tried Restart again. Not a chance: wifi was still hogging the computer thinking it was on a mission to connect. Once in a while, we have to resort to the brute force of the power button and this was my next step. But having made the computer stop things in the middle of trying, there would be some unfinished processes. At least it is worth restarting a second time. I went further and accessed the Repair partition, by holding down Command + R at startup. Nothing to be afraid of here: have a look. Better to do it when nothing is wrong so that you can see the tools available. I also noted that the wifi was showing a strong 4 arcs. In the list, I selected Disk Utility. As this is on a separate partition from the usual working one, a repair is easy to effect. I was not surprised to see a couple of red lines in the text report and it repaired these minor problems easily. I quit Disk Utility and then restarted, getting back to work. When I started Safari, the pages loaded, but no RSS feed numbers were shown to indicate the number of unread items. I quit Safari and restarted the app again which gave it the required nudge. But I still could not make that RS page load. That came back the next morning (above).
Late NewsFacebook has officially announced its IPO according to Simon Sage on iMore, "with ticker symbol FB on the NASDAQ. The starting price will be $38 each of the 421,233,615 common shares, which makes their initial valuation $104 billion -- an awful lot considering they had $3.7 billion in revenue last year." Let the new games begin.
Graham K. Rogers teaches at the Faculty of Engineering, Mahidol University in Thailand. He wrote in the Bangkok Post, Database supplement on IT subjects. For the last seven years of Database he wrote a column on Apple and Macs. |
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